Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001595 0.001694 0.001795 0.001909 0.002031 0.002159 0.002304
2025-03-09 0.001429 0.001565 0.001711 0.001879 0.002068 0.002276 0.002521
2025-03-16 0.001328 0.001488 0.001666 0.001877 0.002123 0.002402 0.002744
2025-03-23 0.001239 0.001414 0.001613 0.001856 0.002147 0.002486 0.002916
2025-03-30 0.001172 0.001359 0.001576 0.001847 0.002179 0.002576 0.003093
2025-04-06 0.001106 0.001301 0.001530 0.001821 0.002186 0.002632 0.003228
2025-04-13 0.001046 0.001245 0.001483 0.001790 0.002182 0.002671 0.003339
2025-04-20 0.000977 0.001175 0.001413 0.001726 0.002132 0.002647 0.003365
2025-04-27 0.000953 0.001158 0.001409 0.001744 0.002185 0.002757 0.003571
2025-05-04 0.000940 0.001155 0.001421 0.001782 0.002267 0.002907 0.003838
2025-05-11 0.000934 0.001160 0.001444 0.001834 0.002367 0.003085 0.004154
2025-05-18 0.000914 0.001144 0.001438 0.001848 0.002415 0.003194 0.004376
2025-05-25 0.000865 0.001093 0.001387 0.001801 0.002385 0.003199 0.004459
2025-06-01 0.000825 0.001051 0.001347 0.001769 0.002373 0.003229 0.004584
2025-06-08 0.000798 0.001027 0.001329 0.001766 0.002401 0.003319 0.004804
2025-06-15 0.000768 0.000996 0.001300 0.001746 0.002404 0.003371 0.004966
2025-06-22 0.000744 0.000972 0.001280 0.001738 0.002422 0.003445 0.005167
2025-06-29 0.000716 0.000942 0.001251 0.001714 0.002416 0.003480 0.005308
2025-07-06 0.000688 0.000912 0.001219 0.001685 0.002399 0.003499 0.005420
2025-07-13 0.000653 0.000869 0.001168 0.001626 0.002334 0.003436 0.005388
2025-07-20 0.000642 0.000862 0.001168 0.001642 0.002386 0.003564 0.005694
2025-07-27 0.000638 0.000863 0.001181 0.001678 0.002471 0.003748 0.006113
2025-08-03 0.000638 0.000870 0.001200 0.001726 0.002576 0.003974 0.006624